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| #214347 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 06.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008 AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA AND HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH WESTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA AND SANCTI SPIRITUS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.9W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.9W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 70.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N 75.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.0N 78.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.7N 80.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N 83.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 86.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 89.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 70.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
