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| #214401 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 07.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0900 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY AND CIENFUEGAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA... CAMAGUEY AND CIEGO DE AVILA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES. AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA AND CIENFUEGAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBA PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS. AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ANDROS ISLAND. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 72.2W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 72.2W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 71.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.0N 74.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 76.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.8N 79.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.5N 81.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 125SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N 87.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.0N 89.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 72.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
