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| #214531 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 07.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THAT ISLAND. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 74.6W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 180SE 60SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 74.6W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 74.0W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 76.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 78.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 80.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.2N 82.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.0N 88.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 91.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 74.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME |
