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| #214581 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 07.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0300 UTC MON SEP 08 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS... CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 75.8W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 180SE 60SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 75.8W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 75.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.4N 77.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.1N 79.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N 81.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.6N 83.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 86.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 89.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 28.0N 92.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 75.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
