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| #214623 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 AM 08.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0900 UTC MON SEP 08 2008 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. AT 5 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ADJUSTED ITS WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS FOLLOWS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND AND RAGGED ISLAND. ALL OTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS ARE DISCONTINUED. AT 5 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE PROVINCES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 77.3W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......120NE 175SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 77.3W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 76.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.6N 79.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...120NE 175SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 81.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.1N 83.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.9N 84.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.0N 90.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 28.5N 93.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 77.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
