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| #214671 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 08.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1500 UTC MON SEP 08 2008 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN PROVINCES OF OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND AND RAGGED ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND GRAND CAYMAN. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 78.5W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......120NE 175SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 78.5W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 77.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.5N 80.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.2N 82.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 80SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.1N 83.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.0N 85.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.5N 87.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 90.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 28.5N 93.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 78.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA |
