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| #214743 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 PM 08.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC MON SEP 08 2008 AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS AND RAGGED ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 79.7W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 79.7W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 79.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.8N 81.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.6N 83.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.6N 84.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.4N 86.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.5N 89.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 92.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 29.0N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 79.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA |
