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#214944 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 09.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1500 UTC TUE SEP 09 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 83.0W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 83.0W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 82.4W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.2N 84.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.0N 85.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.7N 87.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.2N 89.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.0N 93.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 27.5N 97.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 83.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |