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| #215169 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 09.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0300 UTC WED SEP 10 2008 AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR FLORIDA BAY AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 84.3W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 84.3W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 84.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.9N 85.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N 87.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.2N 89.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.6N 91.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.5N 95.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 30.5N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 35.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 84.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BERG |
