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| #215389 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 10.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC WED SEP 10 2008 AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 4 PM CDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAMERON WESTWARD TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 86.1W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......150NE 80SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 86.1W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 85.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N 87.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 80SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.6N 89.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.2N 91.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 94.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT...150NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.5N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 34.5N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED WITHIN FRONTAL ZONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 86.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
