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| #215686 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 11.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC THU SEP 11 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 89.4W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 140NW. 34 KT.......230NE 240SE 150SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 240SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 89.4W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 88.8W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.6N 90.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 140NW. 34 KT...230NE 240SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.6N 93.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 140NW. 34 KT...230NE 240SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.0N 95.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.5N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 37.0N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED IN FRONTAL ZONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 89.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
