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| #216393 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:52 AM 14.Sep.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 52A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 100 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...IKE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS... AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 35.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...EAST OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS AND ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS MORNING...AND OVER THE MIDWESTERN STATES LATER TODAY AS IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND TODAY. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BY MONDAY AFTER IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS TODAY AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA... ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...35.4 N...93.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
