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| #216419 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 14.Sep.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 400 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...IKE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS... AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST OR NEAR BULL SHOALS ARKANSAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 115 MILES... 185 KM...NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS...AND ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IKE THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES STATES BY MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT. THE SYSTEM COULD STRENGTHEN AS A NON-TROPICAL LOW SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...50 TO 55 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...65 TO 70 KM/HR...HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT SEVERAL STATIONS IN EASTERN ARKANSAS DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS TODAY. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES FROM MISSOURI INTO ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY FROM SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...36.4 N...92.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE ADVISORIES ON IKE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
