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#219155 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 28.Sep.2008) TCMAT1 HURRICANE KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 1500 UTC SUN SEP 28 2008 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM STONINGTON EASTWARD TO EASTPORT MAINE. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK CANADA AND SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF NOVA SCOTIA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KYLE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 67.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......105NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 180SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 67.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 68.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 43.3N 66.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...105NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 46.3N 64.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...105NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.5N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 51.5N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.4N 67.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |