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#219470 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 30.Sep.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 1500 UTC TUE SEP 30 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 48.8W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 75SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 48.8W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 48.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 42.8N 48.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 45.5N 47.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 48.7N 45.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 51.7N 43.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 56.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...375NE 325SE 200SW 350NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 57.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 58.0N 3.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 48.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH |