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| #219538 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:11 PM 30.Sep.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122008 2100 UTC TUE SEP 30 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.3N 48.6W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 75SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.3N 48.6W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 48.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 44.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 46.8N 46.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 50.0N 45.1W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 53.1N 42.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 240SE 90SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 56.5N 31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 240SE 90SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 57.0N 17.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.3N 48.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH |
