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| #221872 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 13.Oct.2008) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 1100 AM AST MON OCT 13 2008 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...3 KM/HR. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...HOWEVER...A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO REACH THE DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
