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| #221934 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 13.Oct.2008) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 500 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY... AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO. AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185 MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO. THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W. MOVEMENT... STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
