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#221956 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:55 PM 13.Oct.2008)
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
800 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING DEPRESSION...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS RELOCATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 14.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST
OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT
OR TOMORROW.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION WILL AFFECT PUERTO RICO AND
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...14.5 N...69.4 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN