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| #222086 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 14.Oct.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE BORDER OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA WESTWARD TO LIMON. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 83.0W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 83.0W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 82.8W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 83.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 84.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.4N 85.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.3N 87.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.2N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 16.3N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 83.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
