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| #222104 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:58 PM 14.Oct.2008) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OMAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 200 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008 ...OMAR STRENGTHENS AS IT LASHES ARUBA...CURACAO...AND BONAIRE... WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MARTIN...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SABA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES...600 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO. OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...83 KM/HR. HOWEVER...THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS NOT COMPLETED ITS INVESTIGATION OF OMAR...AND THE TROPICAL STORM COULD BE STRONGER. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 110 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 43 MPH...63 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED ON CURACAO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES. OMAR MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...13.8 N...68.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
