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| #222137 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 PM 14.Oct.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 83.6W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 83.6W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 83.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.9N 84.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.1N 85.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.1N 86.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.9N 88.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 83.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
