Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995
The Atlantic is quiet
|
Show Selection: |
| #222198 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:37 AM 15.Oct.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 200 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER WITH NICARAGUA WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITION ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A TROPICAL WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...175 KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS... BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...16.0 N...84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |
