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| #222275 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 AM 15.Oct.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 1500 UTC WED OCT 15 2008 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 84.5W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 84.5W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 84.2W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.8N 85.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.8N 86.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.6N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.4N 88.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N 90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 84.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART |
