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#222326 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 15.Oct.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 500 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 ...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING INLAND IN NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS... ...MAIN CONCERN IS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT IN CENTRAL AMERICA... AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DROPPED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BELIZE COAST NORTH OF BELIZE CITY. THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DROPPED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BELIZE COAST TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 215 MILES...345 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS... BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...15.5 N...85.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART |