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| #222530 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 16.Oct.2008) TCMAT5 HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 59.7W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 75SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 59.7W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 60.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 25.0N 57.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 28.2N 55.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 45SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.1N 53.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.2N 50.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 36.0N 46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 59.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART |
