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| #225822 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:17 PM 05.Nov.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 2100 UTC WED NOV 05 2008 CORRECTED AWIPS BIN NUMBER 3 TO NUMBER 2 AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM THE NICARAGUA BORDER TO LIMON. AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 81.8W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 81.8W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 81.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.3N 82.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.8N 82.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.5N 82.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 83.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.0N 82.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N 80.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 75.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 81.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART |
