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#225849 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:40 PM 05.Nov.2008)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
0300 UTC THU NOV 06 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 82.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.8N 82.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.6N 82.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.4N 83.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.3N 83.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N 82.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 85NE 85SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 82.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART