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| #226295 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:58 AM 08.Nov.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 1500 UTC SAT NOV 08 2008 AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND HOLGUIN AND DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SANCTI SPIRITUS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 79.3W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 35SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 105SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 79.3W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 79.6W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.4N 78.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 77.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N 76.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.5N 75.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N 76.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 23.0N 77.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 79.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
