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| #226399 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:46 AM 09.Nov.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE PALOMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 100 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2008 ...PALOMA WEAKENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL CUBA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 AM EST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES...45 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PALOMA WILL BE NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST OF EAST-CENTRAL CUBA LATE THIS MORNING...AND BE NEARING THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY LATE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...EVEN AFTER PALOMA MOVES OFF THE COAST OF CUBA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. DANGEROUS STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 13 TO 18 FEET...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF SANTA CRUZ DEL SUR ALONG THE SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN COAST OF CUBA. PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. FIVE TO TEN INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. REPEATING THE 100 AM EST POSITION...21.1 N...77.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM EST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BERG |
