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| #226421 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:58 AM 09.Nov.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008 400 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2008 ...PALOMA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER EAST-CENTRAL CUBA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PALOMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES... 45 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON MONDAY. THE CENTER OF PALOMA SHOULD BE NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON AND BE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PALOMA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...EVEN AFTER THE CENTER OF PALOMA MOVES OFFSHORE DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. PALOMA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM TODAY...AND DEGENERATE TO A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ON MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA SHOULD DIMINISH TODAY. PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER EASTERN CUBA...WHERE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ARE STILL POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. REPEATING THE 400 AM EST POSITION...21.3 N...77.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM EST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
