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| #25531 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 09.Jun.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005 ...ARLENE SPREADING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS WESTERN CUBA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FRIDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA EARLY FRIDAY. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ACCOMPANIED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MAINLY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES NORTH OF CUBA AND OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...20.8 N... 84.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
