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| #25534 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 09.Jun.2005) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012005 0300Z FRI JUN 10 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FRIDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 84.3W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 84.3W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 84.2W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.6N 85.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 86.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N 87.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...130NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.5N 88.6W...NEAR MS/AL COAST MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 36.0N 87.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 41.0N 82.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 84.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
