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| #288425 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 15.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 1500 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 34.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 34.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 33.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.3N 36.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.3N 38.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.8N 41.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.4N 44.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 19.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 34.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
