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| #288617 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 15.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 36.6W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 36.6W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 35.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.2N 38.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.0N 41.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.8N 44.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 52.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N 58.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 21.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 36.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
