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#288715 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 16.Aug.2009) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009 1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009 ...DEPRESSION APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE WILL INVESTIGATE SOON... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH... 24 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...AND ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST OF FLORIDA BY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER. STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... INCLUDING THE BIG BEND. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...28.7N 84.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |