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| #288718 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 16.Aug.2009) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009 AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 55.8W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 55.8W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 54.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.2N 58.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.1N 62.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.1N 66.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.3N 70.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N 77.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 83.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 25.5N 85.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 55.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
