|
Show Selection: |
| #288722 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 16.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 38.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 38.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 37.7W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.6N 40.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.4N 43.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.3N 45.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.2N 48.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 20.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 24.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 38.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
