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| #288861 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 16.Aug.2009) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 0300 UTC MON AUG 17 2009 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN... ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY... AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 61.2W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 61.2W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 60.0W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.7N 64.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.1N 68.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.6N 72.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.2N 76.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 81.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 26.0N 84.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 28.0N 86.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 61.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
