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| #288907 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 17.Aug.2009) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009 0900 UTC MON AUG 17 2009 AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS... ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS... GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 63.9W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 63.9W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 62.8W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.6N 67.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.3N 71.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.2N 75.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.8N 78.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.5N 82.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 28.0N 84.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 30.0N 84.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 63.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
