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| #289048 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 17.Aug.2009) TCMAT3 HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 2100 UTC MON AUG 17 2009 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 46.7W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 65NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......125NE 105SE 75SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..280NE 225SE 110SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 46.7W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 46.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.2N 48.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 55SE 40SW 65NW. 34 KT...145NE 120SE 75SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.2N 51.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 65NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 75SW 145NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.4N 53.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 90SW 145NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 56.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 65SE 55SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 95SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 65SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 105SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 27.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 33.1N 67.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 46.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
