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| #29058 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 29.Jun.2005) TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BRET DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2005 BRET HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE FATHER INLAND OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. THE CLOUD PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE WELL-ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. HOWEVER...DATA FROM A FEW WEATHER STATIONS INDICATE THAT THE WINDS ARE DECREASING. THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN DISSIPATE OVER LAND. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS...MUD SLIDES AND FLASH FLOODS...AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 21.8N 98.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 30/0600Z 22.5N 100.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED |
