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| #291729 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 27.Aug.2009) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009 0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 73.5W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 73.5W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 73.3W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.7N 74.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 75SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 40.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 47.5N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 50.5N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 51.0N 31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 73.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
