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| #293212 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 03.Sep.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009 1100 AM AST THU SEP 03 2009 ...ERIKA STILL A TROPICAL STORM...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA... GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY... ANTIGUA... BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. CROIX AND ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY AND APPROACH THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...16.9N 63.5W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
