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| #293279 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 03.Sep.2009) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009 500 PM AST THU SEP 03 2009 ...ERIKA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...ALL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED... AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS IN NORTHERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 325 MILES...525 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERIKA OR ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON FRIDAY. ERIKA COULD ALSO DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE AT ANY TIME. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IF 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. ...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...16.7N 65.3W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
