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#294779 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 AM 11.Sep.2009) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009 500 AM AST FRI SEP 11 2009 ...FRED EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TODAY... AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST OR ABOUT 745 MILES... 1195 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FRED IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND FRED SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...17.7N 35.1W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |