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| #29804 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:02 PM 03.Jul.2005) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF YUCATAN... A 630 PM CDT...2330Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL...INCLUDING THE BANCO CHINCORRO ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ...AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 125 KM...EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...SOUTH OF COZUMEL MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH ...6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING ONSHORE THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND ON MONDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...18.6 N... 87.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
