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| #29865 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 AM 04.Jul.2005) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032005 0900Z MON JUL 04 2005 AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE BANCO CHINCORRO ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ...AND THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 88.1W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 88.1W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 87.8W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 89.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.4N 90.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.1N 92.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 65NE 65SE 25SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.2N 93.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.0N 93.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 33.0N 90.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 88.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
