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#29909 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 04.Jul.2005) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT MON JUL 04 2005 ...DEPRESSION HAS BECOME POORLY ORGANIZED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM... SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...20.7 N... 89.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH |