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#29989 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:30 PM 04.Jul.2005)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z TUE JUL 05 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF HISPANIOLA BY EARLY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 63.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 63.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 62.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.3N 65.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.7N 68.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N 71.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 55NE 45SE 0SW 55NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.8N 74.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N 78.5W...NEAR SOUTH COAST CUBA
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 65SE 40SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N 81.0W...NEAR NORTH COAST CUBA
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N 83.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 63.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

FORECASTER STEWART